LIVE MTL 3 @ CHI 1LIVE TBL 0 @ COL 2MODEL v0.2.0LAST RUN OCT 23, 9:56 PM ET5,248 GAMES BACKTESTED59.1% PICKEDLIVE MTL 3 @ CHI 1LIVE TBL 0 @ COL 2MODEL v0.2.0LAST RUN OCT 23, 9:56 PM ET5,248 GAMES BACKTESTED59.1% PICKED
NJD
New Jersey Devils
#16 Puckigree · −0.26-4-0 · 15th in standingsMetropolitan · Eastern
As deployed last game
Oct 22 vs ANA, from shift data: the most-used combinations at 5v5, not a projection.
Forward lines with 24+ minutes together at 5v5. The big number is chance share (xGF%) shrunk toward the team’s 58.5% until a line has enough chances of its own; hover it for the raw value.
Hischier line
Hischier – Meier – Evangelista
63.2%chance share xGF%
68 min · 7 GPGF–GA 4–1CF% 60OZ 50%
Top 67%Mid 22%
Mercer line
Mercer – Rodrigues – Gritsyuk
56.5%chance share xGF%
42 min · 7 GPGF–GA 0–1CF% 53OZ 57%
Top 67%Mid 26%
Hughes line
Bratt – Hughes – Mantha
64.5%chance share xGF%
42 min · 8 GPGF–GA 1–1CF% 58OZ 72%
Top 59%Mid 27%
Bratt–Hughes–Gritsyuk
Bratt – Hughes – Gritsyuk
65.0%chance share xGF%
37 min · 6 GPGF–GA 2–2CF% 54OZ 73%
Top 62%Mid 26%
Glass line
Glass – Boqvist – Lombardi
61.8%chance share xGF%
35 min · 4 GPGF–GA 2–0CF% 41OZ 67%
Top 48%Mid 26%Depth 26%
Mercer–Rodrigues–Mantha
Mercer – Rodrigues – Mantha
53.1%chance share xGF%
25 min · 7 GPGF–GA 0–1CF% 46OZ 50%
Top 43%Mid 48%
Which lines are workingper 60 at 5v5
Every dot is a forward line with 24+ minutes; grey dots are the rest of the league. Lines are centred on the league’s median line.
Line stability
Top 4 lines’ share of line time49%League rank10th most stableLines used 5+ minutes12Games with shift data8 (2 left out)
Stable lines are a coach’s choice, not a grade. Games are left out when the NHL’s shift chart is missing or doesn’t match the box score.
Defence pairs
Pair
Min
GP
xGF%
CF%
GF–GA
OZ%
vs top
Pesce–Hughes
124
8
58.2
52.7
7–3
61
58%
Siegenthaler–Hamilton
112
8
60.6
56.6
2–4
56
67%
Chisholm–Dillon
53
5
59.0
49.0
0–1
58
54%
Power play and penalty kill units
The five skaters at 5-on-4 and the four at 4-on-5, with 5+ minutes together.
Unit
Skaters
Min
GF–GA
xGF/60
xGA/60
PP1
Hughes, Hughes, Bratt, Hischier, Evangelista
21
1–0
8.54
0.52
PP2
Hamilton, Meier, Gritsyuk, Rodrigues, Mantha
8
0–1
5.21
2.57
PK1
Siegenthaler, Hamilton, Hischier, Rodrigues
6
0–1
0.20
6.47
Every line
All forward lines with 10+ minutes together at 5v5. Raw and shrunk chance share side by side; k = 4 expected goals.