MTL 59% @ CHI 41%TBL 50% @ COL 50%MODEL v0.2.0LAST RUN OCT 23, 3:45 PM ET5,248 GAMES BACKTESTED59.1% PICKEDMTL 59% @ CHI 41%TBL 50% @ COL 50%MODEL v0.2.0LAST RUN OCT 23, 3:45 PM ET5,248 GAMES BACKTESTED59.1% PICKED
LAK
Los Angeles Kings
#26 Puckigree · −4.62-4-2 · 29th in standingsPacific · Western
As deployed last game
Oct 22 @ NYI, from shift data: the most-used combinations at 5v5, not a projection.
Split up since the game before: Moore–Haula–Zuccarello · Lee–Laughton–Armia
Line board
Forward lines with 21+ minutes together at 5v5. The big number is chance share (xGF%) shrunk toward the team’s 47.4% until a line has enough chances of its own; hover it for the raw value.
Kempe line
Panarin – Kempe – Byfield
51.7%chance share xGF%
45 min · 6 GPGF–GA 1–4CF% 51OZ 81%
Top 71%
Panarin–Kempe–Laferriere
Panarin – Kempe – Laferriere
54.9%chance share xGF%
35 min · 3 GPGF–GA 5–1CF% 47OZ 74%
Top 46%Mid 28%Depth 27%
Turcotte line
Turcotte – Laferriere – Zuccarello
46.6%chance share xGF%
24 min · 3 GPGF–GA 1–0CF% 37OZ 69%
Top 56%Mid 27%
Which lines are workingper 60 at 5v5
Every dot is a forward line with 21+ minutes; grey dots are the rest of the league. Lines are centred on the league’s median line.
Line stability
Top 4 lines’ share of line time37%League rank20th most stableLines used 5+ minutes16Games with shift data7 (1 left out)
Stable lines are a coach’s choice, not a grade. Games are left out when the NHL’s shift chart is missing or doesn’t match the box score.
Defence pairs
Pair
Min
GP
xGF%
CF%
GF–GA
OZ%
vs top
Clarke–Gustafsson
54
5
52.7
52.1
3–3
75
48%
Doughty–Edmundson
46
7
44.5
43.9
2–0
24
57%
Anderson–Ceci
45
5
41.1
44.4
0–1
20
60%
Doughty–Dumoulin
42
7
39.6
39.3
2–3
41
62%
Power play and penalty kill units
The five skaters at 5-on-4 and the four at 4-on-5, with 5+ minutes together.
Unit
Skaters
Min
GF–GA
xGF/60
xGA/60
PP1
Panarin, Kempe, Clarke, Byfield, Zuccarello
9
2–0
8.65
0.00
Every line
All forward lines with 10+ minutes together at 5v5. Raw and shrunk chance share side by side; k = 4 expected goals.