LIVE MTL 3 @ CHI 1LIVE TBL 0 @ COL 2MODEL v0.2.0LAST RUN OCT 23, 9:56 PM ET5,248 GAMES BACKTESTED59.1% PICKEDLIVE MTL 3 @ CHI 1LIVE TBL 0 @ COL 2MODEL v0.2.0LAST RUN OCT 23, 9:56 PM ET5,248 GAMES BACKTESTED59.1% PICKED
NYR
New York Rangers
#12 Puckigree · +3.07-4-1 · 6th in standingsMetropolitan · Eastern
As deployed last game
Oct 22 @ TOR, from shift data: the most-used combinations at 5v5, not a projection.
Forward lines with 30+ minutes together at 5v5. The big number is chance share (xGF%) shrunk toward the team’s 52.9% until a line has enough chances of its own; hover it for the raw value.
Zibanejad line
Lafrenière – Zibanejad – Perreault
56.7%chance share xGF%
111 min · 10 GPGF–GA 6–1CF% 50OZ 65%
Top 59%Mid 21%Depth 20%
Laba line
Cuylle – Laba – Tolvanen
48.3%chance share xGF%
87 min · 10 GPGF–GA 2–2CF% 47OZ 38%
Top 48%Mid 34%
Miller line
Kartye – Miller – Dorofeyev
57.9%chance share xGF%
71 min · 9 GPGF–GA 4–4CF% 51OZ 48%
Top 61%Mid 26%
Which lines are workingper 60 at 5v5
Every dot is a forward line with 30+ minutes; grey dots are the rest of the league. Lines are centred on the league’s median line.
Line stability
Top 4 lines’ share of line time61%League rank3rd most stableLines used 5+ minutes10Games with shift data10 (2 left out)
Stable lines are a coach’s choice, not a grade. Games are left out when the NHL’s shift chart is missing or doesn’t match the box score.
Defence pairs
Pair
Min
GP
xGF%
CF%
GF–GA
OZ%
vs top
Gavrikov–Fox
138
10
59.4
54.1
9–5
54
53%
Pettersson–Durzi
136
10
43.6
41.2
3–3
35
59%
Schneider–Smits
111
10
51.3
45.1
5–3
49
43%
Power play and penalty kill units
The five skaters at 5-on-4 and the four at 4-on-5, with 5+ minutes together.
Unit
Skaters
Min
GF–GA
xGF/60
xGA/60
PP1
Fox, Zibanejad, Lafrenière, Dorofeyev, Miller
25
2–0
6.96
0.10
PP2
Durzi, Perreault, Cuylle, Tolvanen, Bjorkstrand
7
2–0
11.28
3.07
PK1
Gavrikov, Schneider, Laba, Cuylle
8
0–0
0.30
4.75
Every line
All forward lines with 10+ minutes together at 5v5. Raw and shrunk chance share side by side; k = 4 expected goals.