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← ALL MATCHUPSFRI OCT 23 · 9:00 PM ET · COLORADO
AwayTBLTampa Bay Lightning →#2 Puckigree · 7-2-0
Home · favoriteCOLColorado Avalanche →#4 Puckigree · 5-4-1
50% TBL
Puckigree odds LOCKED BEFORE PUCK DROP
50% COL

If this game were played 100 times, COL win about 50. For fun, not betting advice.

Goalie scenarios

HOVER A PAIRING
TBL starts Andrei Vasilevskiy 15 of last 20 starts · 84% to start
TBL starts Jonas Johansson 2 of last 20 starts · 16% to start
COL starts Mackenzie Blackwood 12 of last 20 starts · 59% to start
COL starts Scott Wedgewood 8 of last 20 starts · 41% to start

Goalie value is saves above a league-average save % over recent seasons, shrunk toward average for small samples and measured against what the team’s rating already reflects. The NHL doesn’t confirm starters before puck drop, so the odds above blend these pairings by how likely each is. Click a pairing to see its odds on their own.

The read

Colorado Avalanche come in as the favorite at 50%. Colorado Avalanche have played the 24th-hardest schedule so far, so their record flatters them more. An upset by Tampa Bay Lightning would move the rankings most.

Head to head

#2 Puckigree rank #4
9.9 Rating 8.2
7th Standings 17th
7-2-0 Record 5-4-1
31–23 Goals for–against 41–30
17th hardest Schedule strength 24th hardest
Last 5

Blue marks the edge. Hover a last-5 result for the game.

What’s on the line

Full re-run of the rankings · regulation results assume a two-goal margin
Projected table · lightning win in regulation
1 TBL Tampa Bay Lightning +11.2 ▲1
2 CAR Carolina Hurricanes +11.0 ▼1
3 EDM Edmonton Oilers +8.3 –
4 BOS Boston Bruins +8.0 ▲1
5 COL Colorado Avalanche +6.3 ▼1
6 DAL Dallas Stars +5.6 –
Tampa Bay Lightning · now 91%
Win93%
Lose88%
A 5-point swing on one game.
Colorado Avalanche · now 82%
Win86%
Lose78%
A 8-point swing on one game.
ESC
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