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CGY

Calgary Flames

#14 Puckigree (final) · +3.638-27-17 · 16th in standingsPacific · Western
Why #14 at season’s end
Puckigree#14 · +3.6Standings16thChance share (xGF% 5v5)3rdSchedule faced29th hardest

Results rank, standings, how the team drove play, and schedule strength side by side.

Final
Record38-27-17Points93Games82Goals for – against260–252
CF%57.42nd of 32
GF/GP3.1519th of 32
GA/GP3.0113th of 32
PP%19.819th of 32
PK%82.65th of 32
PDO98.031st of 32
SV% 5v5.90131st of 32
SF/GP36.02nd of 32

Playoff odds

From simulations of the games left, using Team Puckigree.
FinalMissed the playoffs
Highest along the way96%
Playoff chance through the season: high 96% (Oct 23), low 0% (Apr 11). On the timeline · All teams

Player Puckigree

How much each player adds over a replacement-level player, in goals. See them against the league →
Roster total+56.8goals above replacement · 17th of 32
Forwards +28.5Defence +24.1Goalies +4.3

Goals above a replacement-level player (someone outside a team’s regular rotation): how he did against an average player, plus credit for the workload a replacement would otherwise take. About 6.2 goals make one win.

Who’s driving it
ToffoliC+12.4
TanevD+11.1
WeegarD+7.3
KadriC+5.8
MarkstromGSAx −6.4G+3.7
LucicL−6.3
DubeC−5.3
LewisC−2.1

Chances

From our expected-goals model: what each shot was worth, given where and how it was taken.
Where the goal difference came fromxg-v1.1
Even-strength chances EV xGD+33.8
Power play and penalty kill ST xGD+7.8
Finishing GF−xGF−24.0
Goaltending GSAx−10.5
Goal difference GD+7

Each bar starts where the last one ended. Chances are what the shots were worth; finishing and goaltending are what happened to them.

Record by the chances
Chances say47-28-7101.0 pts
Actually38-27-1793 pts

8.0 points behind their chances.

xGF% 5v554.73rd of 32
HDCF% 5v553.97th of 32
GF−xGF−24.031st of 32
GSAx−10.523rd of 32
Last gamesGame log →
  • Apr 12vs SJSW 3-1
  • Apr 10vs NSHOTL 2-3
  • Apr 8@ VANOTL 2-3
  • Apr 5@ WPGW 3-1
  • Apr 4vs CHIL 3-4

Source: NHL.com data. Results through Apr 14.

ESC
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