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CGY

Calgary Flames

#21 Puckigree (final) · −1.938-39-5 · 24th in standingsPacific · Western
Why #21 at season’s end
Puckigree#21 · −1.9Standings24thChance share (xGF% 5v5)21stSchedule faced14th hardest

Results rank, standings, how the team drove play, and schedule strength side by side.

Final
Record38-39-5Points81Games82Goals for – against253–271
CF%50.914th of 32
GF/GP3.0918th of 32
GA/GP3.2622nd of 32
PP%17.926th of 32
PK%80.89th of 32
PDO98.827th of 32
SV% 5v5.90427th of 32
SF/GP31.413th of 32

Playoff odds

From simulations of the games left, using Team Puckigree.
FinalMissed the playoffs
Highest along the way56%
Playoff chance through the season: high 56% (Oct 16), low 0% (Mar 27). On the timeline · All teams

Player Puckigree

How much each player adds over a replacement-level player, in goals. See them against the league →
Roster total+46.4goals above replacement · 22nd of 32
Forwards +29.4Defence +12.6Goalies +4.5

Goals above a replacement-level player (someone outside a team’s regular rotation): how he did against an average player, plus credit for the workload a replacement would otherwise take. About 6.2 goals make one win.

Who’s driving it
MarkstromGSAx +12.6G+21.9
TanevD+8.0
KadriC+7.4
WeegarD+6.5
ColemanL+4.7
WolfGSAx −12.3G−9.2
VladarGSAx −12.1G−8.2
DubeC−2.5

Chances

From our expected-goals model: what each shot was worth, given where and how it was taken.
Where the goal difference came fromxg-v1.1
Even-strength chances EV xGD−6.3
Power play and penalty kill ST xGD+2.3
Finishing GF−xGF+0.8
Goaltending GSAx−11.8
Goal difference GD-15

Each bar starts where the last one ended. Chances are what the shots were worth; finishing and goaltending are what happened to them.

Record by the chances
Chances say40-35-787.2 pts
Actually38-39-581 pts

6.2 points behind their chances.

xGF% 5v549.021st of 32
HDCF% 5v549.921st of 32
GF−xGF+0.815th of 32
GSAx−11.825th of 32
Last gamesGame log →
  • Apr 18vs SJSW 5-1
  • Apr 16@ VANL 1-4
  • Apr 14vs ARIW 6-5
  • Apr 12@ ANAW 6-3
  • Apr 11@ LAKL 1-4

Source: NHL.com data. Results through Apr 18.

ESC
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  • PAGE What if? Player swap change a roster
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