MTL 59% @ CHI 41%TBL 50% @ COL 50%MODEL v0.2.0LAST RUN OCT 23, 3:45 PM ET5,248 GAMES BACKTESTED59.1% PICKEDMTL 59% @ CHI 41%TBL 50% @ COL 50%MODEL v0.2.0LAST RUN OCT 23, 3:45 PM ET5,248 GAMES BACKTESTED59.1% PICKED
VAN
Vancouver Canucks
#32 Puckigree · −16.12-9-1 · 32nd in standingsPacific · Western
As deployed last game
Oct 22 vs DET, from shift data: the most-used combinations at 5v5, not a projection.
Split up since the game before: Cotter–Chytil–Boeser · O'Connor–Ohgren–Lekkerimaki · DeBrusk–Pettersson–Karlsson
Line board
Forward lines with 33+ minutes together at 5v5. The big number is chance share (xGF%) shrunk toward the team’s 36.7% until a line has enough chances of its own; hover it for the raw value.
Pettersson line
DeBrusk – Pettersson – Lekkerimaki
37.2%chance share xGF%
63 min · 8 GPGF–GA 4–3CF% 45OZ 58%
Top 58%Mid 33%
Which lines are workingper 60 at 5v5
Every dot is a forward line with 33+ minutes; grey dots are the rest of the league. Lines are centred on the league’s median line.
Line stability
Top 4 lines’ share of line time29%League rank29th most stableLines used 5+ minutes26Games with shift data11 (1 left out)
Stable lines are a coach’s choice, not a grade. Games are left out when the NHL’s shift chart is missing or doesn’t match the box score.
Defence pairs
Pair
Min
GP
xGF%
CF%
GF–GA
OZ%
vs top
Willander–Oleksiak
104
10
38.1
41.4
3–6
30
57%
Buium–Hronek
84
10
34.7
45.8
5–6
55
59%
Hronek–Pettersson
74
10
30.8
39.6
2–5
32
73%
Power play and penalty kill units
The five skaters at 5-on-4 and the four at 4-on-5, with 5+ minutes together.
Unit
Skaters
Min
GF–GA
xGF/60
xGA/60
PP1
Hronek, Boeser, Pettersson, Lekkerimaki, DeBrusk
13
3–0
6.72
0.69
PP2
Hronek, Boeser, Pettersson, DeBrusk, Rossi
10
2–2
6.42
1.87
PP3
Buium, Willander, Karlsson, Lekkerimaki, Ohgren
7
0–1
5.72
1.51
PP4
Hronek, Boeser, Pettersson, O'Connor, Rossi
5
0–0
2.21
1.17
Every line
All forward lines with 10+ minutes together at 5v5. Raw and shrunk chance share side by side; k = 4 expected goals.