Puckigree — Toronto Maple Leafs at Edmonton Oilers

LIVE --:--:-- ET

ANA 44% @ PHI 56%LAK 44% @ NJD 56%SJS 34% @ BOS 66%NYR 48% @ OTT 52%NSH 50% @ PIT 50%BUF 42% @ WSH 58%VGK 59% @ CBJ 41%CAR 57% @ STL 43%TOR 39% @ EDM 61%TBL 54% @ UTA 46%DET 54% @ CGY 46%MIN 54% @ SEA 46%MODEL v0.4.0LAST RUN OCT 24, 1:40 AM ET5,248 GAMES BACKTESTED59.1% PICKEDANA 44% @ PHI 56%LAK 44% @ NJD 56%SJS 34% @ BOS 66%NYR 48% @ OTT 52%NSH 50% @ PIT 50%BUF 42% @ WSH 58%VGK 59% @ CBJ 41%CAR 57% @ STL 43%TOR 39% @ EDM 61%TBL 54% @ UTA 46%DET 54% @ CGY 46%MIN 54% @ SEA 46%MODEL v0.4.0LAST RUN OCT 24, 1:40 AM ET5,248 GAMES BACKTESTED59.1% PICKED

← ALL MATCHUPSSAT OCT 24 · 7:00 PM ET · EDMONTON

AwayTORToronto Maple Leafs →#19 Puckigree · 6-4-2

Home · favoriteEDMEdmonton Oilers →#3 Puckigree · 8-1-1

39% TOR

Puckigree odds PREGAME ESTIMATE

61% EDM

If this game were played 100 times, EDM win about 61. For fun, not betting advice.

Goalie scenarios

HOVER A PAIRING

TOR starts Sergei Bobrovsky 8 of last 20 starts · 53% to start

TOR starts Anthony Stolarz 7 of last 20 starts · 47% to start

EDM starts Devon Levi 7 of last 20 starts · 57% to start

EDM starts Tristan Jarry 5 of last 20 starts · 43% to start

Goalie value is saves above a league-average save % over recent seasons, shrunk toward average for small samples and measured against what the team’s rating already reflects. The NHL doesn’t confirm starters before puck drop, so the odds above blend these pairings by how likely each is. Click a pairing to see its odds on their own.

The read

Edmonton Oilers come in as the favorite at 61%. Edmonton Oilers have played the 30th-hardest schedule so far, so their record flatters them more. An upset by Toronto Maple Leafs would move the rankings most.

Head to head

#19 Puckigree rank #3

-0.8 Rating 8.6

11th Standings 2nd

6-4-2 Record 8-1-1

43–38 Goals for–against 46–32

10th hardest Schedule strength 30th hardest

Last 5

Blue marks the edge. Hover a last-5 result for the game.

What’s on the line

Full re-run of the rankings · regulation results assume a two-goal margin

Projected table · maple leafs win in regulation

1 CAR Carolina Hurricanes +10.9 –

2 TBL Tampa Bay Lightning +9.9 –

3 COL Colorado Avalanche +8.2 ▲1

4 BOS Boston Bruins +7.9 ▲1

5 EDM Edmonton Oilers +7.5 ▼2

6 DAL Dallas Stars +5.6 –

⋯ 6 teams

13 STL St. Louis Blues +1.3 –

14 TOR Toronto Maple Leafs +1.3 ▲5

15 WPG Winnipeg Jets +0.5 ▼1

16 NYI New York Islanders +0.2 ▼1

17 MTL Montréal Canadiens −0.4 ▼1

18 NJD New Jersey Devils −0.5 ▼1

19 BUF Buffalo Sabres −0.5 ▼1

20 SEA Seattle Kraken −1.0 –

Playoff stakes

Each team's chance to make the playoffs, after a win or a loss tonight

Toronto Maple Leafs · now 41%

Win48%

Lose37%

A 11-point swing on one game.

Edmonton Oilers · now 95%

Win97%

Lose93%

A 4-point swing on one game.

More tonight

COMPARE ANY TWO TEAMS →

ANA@PHI#29 @ #24

LAK@NJD#25 @ #17

SJS@BOS#28 @ #5

NYR@OTT#12 @ #11

NSH@PIT#22 @ #26

BUF@WSH#18 @ #9

VGK@CBJ#7 @ #27

CAR@STL#1 @ #13

TBL@UTA#2 @ #10

DET@CGY#21 @ #30

MIN@SEA#8 @ #20